Watchlist

Watchlist
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI)
Were The Early Stages Of The 1982-2000 Secular Trend Easy?
RARE SIGNAL IN 1982 AND 2016 A December 2016 video covered an extremely rare signal that occurred in 1982 and 2016. Since then, markets ( VTI ) have reacted in a bullish manner, meaning we have no reason to doubt the long-term signal that occurred at the end of 2016. Therefore, it may be…
How Do You Stay A Millionaire?
How do I keep what I have? is the query we hear much more often than, How much will the market rise this year? Those who are familiar with our long-term value contrarian mindset know better than to pose the latter question seriously. If we hear it, we know they&…
This Chart Says Be Open To Better Than Expected Economic And Market Outcomes
LONG-TERM BREAKOUT IN OVERTIME HOURS The chart below appeared in the April 13 edition of The Wall Street Journal ; it shows average weekly overtime hours in manufacturing recently broke above a level that had acted as resistance for a number of years. Notice the lows take place in 2001,…
The 8% Income Portfolio: Durable Income In Good Times And Bad
This income-centric portfolio was launched in October of 2014 with two simple goals. The primary goal of this portfolio was to provide roughly an 8% income while preserving the capital. The secondary goal was to provide some capital appreciation over the long term (please see full disclosure a…
2018, 2007, Charts, And The Wisdom Of The Crowd
TRADE WAR TO BRING RECESSION AND BEAR MARKET? Charts help us monitor the market's ( VTI ) net aggregate opinion regarding all subjects on all timeframes. When the net aggregate opinion is bullish, stocks tend to rise. When the net aggregate opinion is evenly distributed between bulls and b…
Consider Waiting To Buy BIB
Celgene ( CELG ) is the largest component of the index BIB tracks (credit: Celgene ). Wait On BIB Earlier this week, I mentioned that the Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3x Shares ETF ( FAZ ) failed the first of Portfolio Armor 's two screens to avoid bad investments, and based o…
Profiling Correlations, Part II: Alternative Strategies
Last month's review of return correlations highlighted the challenge of finding strong diversification opportunities among the major asset classes for designing and managing portfolios. Does the landscape offer better choices if we expand the opportunity set by adding alternative strategie…
Avoid Passive At All Costs
Passive investing has been on the rise since the inception of this extended bull market. According to Bank of America, inflows to passive funds were more than $1.5 trillion during 2009-2016 while outflows from active equity funds amounted to $340 billion during the same period. Deutsche …
First Quarter Results For Various Portfolio Tilts
The Setup Lets start with the three-year performance data for each tilt category. (There are no names or tickers in the table below because this is a meta summary by category. Tickers and names will show up later.) Note that this is not an exhaustive list of tilt categories. I chos…
Perfect Storm Sways Stocks - Sink Or Swim?
A perfect storm developed against stocks on Monday as three storm systems met to sink our tall ship. China met the ante of the President and initiated trade tariffs on a slew of American imports; President Trump seems to be taking a hard line against market leader Amazon.com; and Facebook CEO …