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NVIDIA (NVDA) stock: still riding high

Carla Olson | 1:46 pm ET, 15 Aug 2018

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) shares are trading at $257, down 1.5%.  The company is reporting its fiscal Q2 earnings after the market close on Thursday.  What should investors know about NVIDIA? What's NVDA stock price forecast?

The expectations are riding high for this GPU specialist.  NVIDIA shares have returned over 30% year-to-date,  way above S&P 500's 7% return.  The stock reached an all-time high of $266.91 on June 14. 

If the company fails to crush analyst estimates, the stock is likely to get punished.  Long-term investors should view such a scenario as a buying opportunity.  It's natural that some quarters will be weaker because of tough year-over-year comparisons.  

The cryptocurrency market, which has been very volatile, is likely to affect the company's results.  Last quarter, revenue from application-specific boards for crypto mining accounted for about 9% of NVIDIA's total sales. Many crypto miners buy the company's gaming GPUs to power their mining operations, which implies the share of crypto in NVIDIA's overall revenue is greater than 9%.  

Now, let's look at the sentiment for the NVDA stock. Our technical analysis shows that:

  • The stock short-term sentiment (next 30 days) is positive;
  • The mid-term sentiment (3-6 months) is positive;
  • The long-term sentiment (9-12 months) is positive. 

Over the last month, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) returned +4.86%.

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) average analyst price target ($273.45) is 4.6% above its current price ($261.43).

For the latest price and information on NVIDIA Corporation, please visit Finstead and search for "NVDA price" or "NVDA news".

Disclaimer: The news article above expresses the author’s opinion about the topic of the article. We strongly advise you not to base your investment decisions just on this article alone. If you’d like to become a writer for Finstead Bites, please send us an email at hi@finstead.com.


Intel and Apple: What's Next?

Carla Olson | 4:13 pm ET, 03 Apr 2018

Intel’s (NASDAQ:INTC) stock price witnessed a big decline yesterday after Bloomberg reported that Apple would not use Intel chips for its Mac computers. As a part of the multi-step transition, Intel processors will be replaced by native Apple components starting 2020.

Apple did not respond to the ‘news’ and Intel denied acknowledging this as well.  Apart from Intel, its rivals such as Qualcomm, Broadcom, and Arms supply Apple with chips and processors. These are used for various purposes such as artificial intelligence and augmented reality — in addition to in-house chips for Macs, Apple Watches, AirPods, and Beats.

If Apple opts for its own chips instead of other manufacturers’, it will eliminate the critical dependency on the new chip models. It could soon stand out from the competition as the only PC and electronics maker utilizing its own processors.

The Kalamata code is in its initial developmental stage. It is a part of the larger strategy that aims at enabling Apple devices (Macs, iPhones, and iPads) to work in a similar and coordinated way.

This step is a major setback for Intel. The partnership between the two companies has caused the revival of Apple’s Macs and it also helped Intel get to a leading position in the electronics marketplace.

Intel's ability to produce powerful processors compared to its competitors through the use of the latest manufacturing technology has cemented its #1 position on the market.

Will the INTC stock price recover?  Per Finstead research, Intel's average analyst price target is $52, which is close to its current price. The upside is very small.

Intel has a fairly low valuation compared to its peers and lags behind its rivals QCOMCHKPTXNAMD, and NVDA.

Investors should consider a couple of points to estimate the impact of Bloomberg’s claim on Intel’s business going forward:

  • Bloomberg indicated that Apple makes up only 5% of Intel’s total revenue 
  • Apple held 7.6% market share for PC units in the most recent quarter, based on Gartner research.

Perhaps you should wait and see at this critical juncture until things fully play out.  

Disclaimer: The news article above expresses the author’s opinion about the topic of the article. We strongly advise you not to base your investment decisions just on this article alone. If you’d like to become a writer for Finstead Bites, please send us an email at hi@finstead.com.


Micron Technology (MU): Where Does The Stock Price Go Now?

Carla Olson | 6:50 pm ET, 22 Mar 2018

Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) shares fell in the extended session today after the company surpassed analyst estimates following a weeks-long run-up on the stock, but gave a disappointing forecast.  

Micron shares declined more than 6% after hours, trading at $57.30.

Its shares have climbed 40% in the past month, because of the increasing demand for its products from various sources.

What's important to note in this case is that an earnings beat doesn't necessarily imply a surge in the stock price. The Company's guidance is a strong factor that influences the stock price. For example, a forward-looking guidance was sparked in the tech sector after the introduction of the U.S. tax reform bill, during the Q4 earnings.

So what’s the path for Micron's stock now? 

Per Finstead Research, Micron Technology’s average price target is $60 (visit Finstead and type "MU price target").

However, Micron Technology’s valuation is quite low compared to its peers, judging by forward P/E ratio.

There is some potential for the stock to bounce back, but it’s hard to say when and how this may occur.

Disclaimer: The news article above expresses the author’s opinion about the topic of the article. We strongly advise you not to base your investment decisions just on this article alone. If you’d like to become a writer for Finstead Bites, please send us an email at hi@finstead.com.


Nvidia: Reasons To Be Bullish?

Carla Olson | 4:31 pm ET, 08 Feb 2018

Today after market close, Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) is set to report its earnings for the fiscal quarter ending January 2018.  According to Finstead Research, Nvidia price target upside is -5.47% (visit Finstead and type "NVDA upside"). 

However, there are some fundamental reasons why investors are bullish about Nvidia.  

Nvidia has an opportunity to license its technology and accelerate its IP adoption in the mobile market.

Nvidia’s high-functionality gaming device priced affordably is a great growth avenue.  NVIDIA SHIELD Android TV device and GeForce NOW let users stream video games from the cloud.  The Company has plans to introduce an LTE version in its forthcoming versions of the gaming products.

Nvidia is generating more increasingly more revenue through advanced graphics cards such as GeForce GTX 750, GeForce GTX 800M, and GeForce GTX 980.

Tesla P100 GPU Accelerator uses High-Performance Computing (HPC) technology that can reduce operational costs by 70%. Similarly, Tesla M10 GPU can minimize the costs per user as it is capable of connecting 64 users per board, or up to 128 users per server using only 2 boards.

Products such as BFGD for an enhanced gaming experience, Jetson TK1 for robotics, Tegra K1 processor, and DGX-1 supercomputer customized for profound learning are all potentially great future growth opportunities for Nvidia.  Its consistent efforts in bringing in newer technologies are evident from the development of CES (computer vision system), DRIVE PX 2 (a powerful engine for AI used in vehicles), and Xavier (an AI supercomputer chip).

Nvidia's partnership with Baidu to use AI in cloud computing, self -driving vehicles and home assistance will encourage new product development and provide a great boost to the autonomous vehicle market.

The partnership between NVIDIA and VMware would let NVIDIA GRID technology run on the VMware Horizon Desktop-as-a-Service (DaaS) Platform to enhance its virtualization, automation, and cloud-based portfolios.  The GPU-based NVIDIA GRID software platform will be available on 50 server platforms. 

Over the last year, NVDA returned +92.30%.  This return is higher than Semiconductor industry (24.89%), Technology sector (16.05%), and S&P 500 (15.52%) returns.

Disclaimer: The news article above expresses the author’s opinion about the topic of the article. We strongly advise you not to base your investment decisions just on this article alone. If you’d like to become a writer for Finstead Bites, please send us an email at hi@finstead.com.


NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Buy or Sell Stock Guide

Updated at: 12:07 am ET, 25 Dec 2018

The analysis below may be helpful to you if you have any of the following questions about NVDA stock:

  • Is NVDA a buy or a sell?
  • Should I sell or hold NVDA stock today?
  • Is NVDA a good buy / a good investment?
  • What are NVDA analyst opinions, recommendations, ratings?

Here are NVDA stock buy reasons/signals:

1. Deep learning and artificial intelligence computing that rely on Nvidia's graphics chips present the firm with a potentially massive growth opportunity.

2. The firm has an increasingly stronger presence in the automotive segment, via infotainment systems and autonomous driving in the longer term, which should help diversify its revenue sources.

3. The increasing complexity of graphics processors provides a barrier to entry for most potential rivals, as it would be difficult to match Nvidia's large R&D budget.

4. NVIDIA has decided to license its graphics IP, which should generate strong revenues. Selling its own powerful and expensive chips is going to get more and more difficult, with alternatives from Qualcomm, ARM and Intel entering the market. If, however, it starts licensing the technology, it would be able to shift the manufacturing cost to licensees and also accelerate the adoption of its IP in the high-growth mobile markets.

5. The company’s shield gaming device is another growth avenue. Based on Android Jelly Bean, this handheld gaming device features a flip-up 5-inch touchscreen display, two analog joysticks, a control pad and buttons. Bluetooth peer-to-peer or WiFi communication is an added bonus.

6. The company is in the process of gaining market share among gaming service providers, thereby strengthening its position in the workstation-based gaming services in supercomputing segments. The advanced gaming cards also add value to PC manufacturers.

7. Although gaming is the key to NVIDIA’s growth, computing is becoming increasingly more visual, given the new-age tablets that are seeing tremendous demand. Software increasingly relies on a visual user interface rather than text. For example, Windows 8 requires much more GPU resources than its predecessor as it leverages improved graphics capabilities to enhance user experience.

8. The company has launched some new products and has several others in the pipeline. NVIDIA’s CEO Jen-Hsun Huang announced the launch of GeForce NOW and introduced SHIELD TV. Also notable is the 256-core Tegra X1 mobile processor.

9. NVIDIA’s alliance with Baidu for bringing in AI technology in cloud-computing services, self-driving vehicles and home assistance spaces will stoke its growth. Per the agreement, Baidu uses NVIDIA’s Volta GPUs in its cloud offerings and AI framework Paddle, through which companies and researchers can develop products and services, with real-time understanding of images, speech, text and video. The next big thing is that Baidu has selected NVIDIA's DRIVE PX 2 AI supercomputer for its self-driving car initiative known as Apollo.

10. NVIDIA’s focus on GRID platforms can increase GPU adoption in data centers, giving it an advantage against its competitors. NVIDIA GRID is a powerful GPU-based platform that supports corporate virtualized desktops in data centers, cloud gaming services and design software-as-a-service. GRID provides a visually rewarding graphics experience that a company may otherwise derive from an expensive, dedicated PC.

11. NVDA stock price ($127.08) is close to the 52-week low ($126.72). Perhaps now is a good time to buy?

12. NVDA quarterly revenue growth was 20.70%, higher than the industry and sector average revenue growth (5.81% and 5.17%, respectively).

13. NVDA profitability is improving. The YoY profit margin change was 7.26pp.

14. NVDA forward dividend yield is 0.43%, higher than the industry (0.14%) and sector (0.25%) forward dividend yields.

15. NVDA average analyst rating is Buy.

16. NVDA average analyst price target ($228.43) is above its current price ($127.08).

Here are NVDA stock sell reasons/signals:

1. Rapid product cycles could make it difficult for Nvidia to sustain its lead over AMD. Previously, NVIDIA and ATI made graphics chips for the PC market. Later AMD acquired ATI and combined the CPU and parallel graphics chip into a single component. AMD is now making an effort to strengthen its position in the commodity graphics segment and CPUs for console gaming systems. AMD chips have made an entry into Sony Corp.'s PS4, launched in the last holiday season. Nintendo’s Wii U and Microsoft’s Xbox One will also be going with AMD.

2. Nvidia's automotive endeavors face plenty of competition, as numerous chipmakers are targeting the market.

3. A majority of sales come from the maturing PC industry. The secular decline in the PC market has affected many chip makers, including big names like Intel and AMD. The overall PC market was mainly adversely affected by weak demand for consumer PCs.

4. Customer concentration is a major risk for NVIDIA. During fiscal 2017, about 12% of total revenue came from its biggest customer, ASUSTeK. Also, its top two customers accounted for approximately 29% of total accounts receivables.

5. NVDA Price/Sales ratio is 7.19, and it’s high compared to its industry peers’ P/S ratios.

What are your thoughts on NVDA?

If you liked this analysis, check out Buy or Sell Stock Guides for other stocks.

Disclaimer: The news article above expresses the author’s opinion about the topic of the article. We strongly advise you not to base your investment decisions just on this article alone. If you’d like to become a writer for Finstead Bites, please send us an email at hi@finstead.com.


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